This paper uses data on German government bond futures options to examine the behaviour of market expectations around … expectations, as measured by the skewness of option-implied probability distributions of future bond yields. The results show that …

the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete … history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over ten years of daily data, from 13 January 1999 onwards. Time series of …

After executing option orders, options market makers turn to the stock market to hedge away the underlying stock … independent of options. The analysis shows that the option-induced imbalance significantly predicts future stock returns in the … cross section controlling for the past stock and options returns, but the imbalance independent of options has only a …

options on the S&P 500 futures expire (pinning) and are pushed away from the cost-of-carry adjusted at-the-money strike price … right before the expiration of options on the S&P 500 index (anti-cross-pinning). These effects are driven by the interplay … (and early exercise) of in-the-money options by individual investors. The associated shift in notional futures value is at …

This study analyzes the forecasting accuracy of the implied volatility of options on futures contracts for the delivery … of CO2 emission allowances (carbon options) traded on the European Climate Exchange. We demonstrate that option implied … volatility is highly informative about the variance of returns realized over the remaining life of the options. It is also …