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improves the performance of discrete choice models in forecasting systemic events. Our framework shows a good out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128992
This paper studies how the drivers of portfolio flows change across periods with a model where regression coefficients endogenously change over time in a continuous fashion. The empirical analysis of daily equity portfolio flows to emerging markets shows that the regression coefficients display...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101120
We analyze the market assessment of sovereign credit risk in an emerging market using a reduced-form model to price the credit default swap (CDS) spreads thus enabling us to derive values for the probability of default (PD) and loss given default (LGD) from the quotes of sovereign CDS contracts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987488
We analyze the market assessment of sovereign credit risk in an emerging market using a reduced-form model to price the credit default swap (CDS) spreads thus enabling us to derive values for the probability of default (PD) and loss given default (LGD) from the quotes of sovereign CDS contracts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987870