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improves the performance of discrete choice models in forecasting systemic events. Our framework shows a good out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128992
This paper studies how the drivers of portfolio flows change across periods with a model where regression coefficients endogenously change over time in a continuous fashion. The empirical analysis of daily equity portfolio flows to emerging markets shows that the regression coefficients display...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101120
In this paper, we study the dynamics and drivers of sovereign bond yields in euro area countries using a factor model with time-varying loading coeffi cients and stochastic volatility, which allows for capturing changes in the pricing mechanism of bond yields. Our key contribution is exploring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963728
In this paper we present a methodology of model-based calibration of additional capital needed in an interconnected financial system to minimize potential contagion losses. Building on ideas from combinatorial optimization tailored to controlling contagion in case of complete information about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226863