same drop in magnitude. We then examine the usefulness of real-time gap estimates for forecasting inflation and find no …

forecasting and policy analysis. CANVAS represents a next-generation modelling effort, as it improves upon the previous generation … examine macroeconomic dynamics under significant uncertainty. We assess the out-of-sample forecasting performance of CANVAS … allows for forecasting of the medium-run macroeconomic effects of the economy at the sector level. For instance, this …