. Nevertheless, their forecasting properties are still barely explored. We fill this gap by comparing the quality of real … priors from a DSGE model. We show that the analyzed DSGE model is relatively successful in forecasting the US economy in the … accurate short-term forecasts for interest rates. Conditional on experts' now casts, however, the forecasting power of the DSGE …

improves the performance of discrete choice models in forecasting systemic events. Our framework shows a good out …

-of-sample forecasting performance. Differences across countries are seemingly linked to market liquidity. The paper further finds that the …

While fiscal forecasting and monitoring has its roots in the accountability of governments for the use of public funds … discusses the main issues and challenges in the field of fiscal forecasting from a practitioner’s perspective and places them in …

forecasting euro area manufacturing production. Following Boivin and Ng (2006), the emphasis is put on the role of dataset …