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The pricing of subprime mortgage risk in good times and bad: evidence from the ABX.HE indices

Fender, Ingo; Scheicher, Martin - 2009

This paper investigates the market pricing of subprime mortgage risk on the basis of data for the ABX.HE family of … introduction into ABX index mechanics and a discussion of historical pricing patterns, we use regression analysis to establish the … for the inappropriateness of pricing models that do not sufficiently account for factors such as risk appetite and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605102

Measuring market and inflation risk premia in France and in Germany

Cappiello, Lorenzo; Guéné, Stéphane - 2005

Capital Asset Pricing Model à la Merton (1973), with inflation as an independent source of risk, for France and Germany. Our … the convergence process towards the single currency might have affected the role of inflation in the pricing of financial … assets. We find that inflation is a significant explanatory factor for the pricing of stocks and government bonds in the two …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604482

The impact of the euro on financial markets

Cappiello, Lorenzo; Hördahl, Peter; Kadareja, Arjan; … - 2006

, we focus on the asset pricing implications of the euro. Specifically, we use a dynamic no arbitrage term structure model …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604644

The pricing of risk in European credit and corporate bond markets

Berndt, Antje; Obreja, Iulian - 2007

spreads. Using a modified version of the intertemporal capital asset pricing model, we show that default risk premia represent … tails. The pricing implications of this new factor are not limited to credit markets only. We find that this common factor … is priced consistently across a broad spectrum of corporate bond portfolios. In addition, our asset pricing tests also …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604851

Assessing the compensation for volatility risk implicit in interest rate derivatives

Fornari, Fabio - 2008

Volatilities implied from interest rate swaptions are used to assess the size and the sign of the compensation for volatility risk, for dollar, euro and pound rates at a daily frequency, between October 1998 and August 2006. The measurement of the volatility risk premium rests on a simple model...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604905

Country and industry equity risk premia in the euro area: an intertemporal approach

Cappiello, Lorenzo; Lo Duca, Marco; Maddaloni, Angela - 2008

This paper provides new evidence on the dynamics of equity risk premia in euro area stock markets across country and industry portfolios. We develop and estimate a conditional intertemporal CAPM where returns on aggregate euro area, country and industry portfolios depend on the market risk as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604959

The term structure of equity premia in an affine arbitrage-free model of bond and stock market dynamics

Lemke, Wolfgang; Werner, Thomas - 2009

We estimate time-varying expected excess returns on the US stock market from 1983 to 2008 using a model that jointly captures the arbitrage-free dynamics of stock returns and nominal bond yields. The model nests the class of affine term structure (of interest rates) models. Stock returns and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605091

Inflation risks and inflation risk premia

García, Juan Angel; Werner, Thomas - 2010

This paper investigates the link between the perceived inflation risks in macroeconomic forecasts and the inflation risk premia embodied in financial instruments. We first provide some stylized facts about the term structure of inflation compensation, inflation expectations and inflation risk...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605208

The term structure of risk premia: new evidence from the financial crisis

Berg, Tobias - 2010

This study calibrates the term structure of risk premia before and during the 2007/2008 financial crisis using a new calibration approach based on credit default swaps. The risk premium term structure was flat before the crisis and downward sloping during the crisis. The instantaneous risk...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605211

Macroeconomic Implications of Time-Varying Risk Premia

Gourio, Francois - 2012

A large empirical literature suggests that risk premia on stocks or corporate bonds are large and countercyclical. This paper studies a simple real business cycle model with a small, exogenously time-varying risk of disaster, and shows that it can replicate several important facts documented in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102105