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that the Bundesbank – which is near-universally credited for sparing West Germany the Great Inflation – would also not have …
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macroeconomic consequences of government debt accumulation. Focusing on the USA, Germany and Italy over the 1983-2003 period, the …
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differentials in explaining city-level house price dispersion in Germany, France, and the US (but not in Italy or Spain once …
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The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in forecast accuracy among Fed watchers. Based on a novel database for 268 professional forecasters since 1999, the average forecast error of FOMC decisions varies 5 to 10 basis points between the best and worst-performers...
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