linked to the monetary policy regime. Before and after the "Great Inflation", nominal wages moved in the same direction as … the (required) adjustment of real wages, and in the opposite direction of the price response. During the "Great Inflation … increasing inflation volatility. Using a standard DSGE model, we show that these stylized facts, in particular the estimated …

linked to the monetary policy regime. Before and after the "Great Inflation", nominal wages moved in the same direction as … the (required) adjustment of real wages, and in the opposite direction of the price response. During the "Great Inflation … increasing inflation volatility. Using a standard DSGE model, we show that these stylized facts, in particular the estimated …

are consistent with the behavior of inflation. We label these deviations the output gap. In order to pin-down the features … of the model, we evaluate the accuracy of real-time inflation forecasts from different model specifications. The version … that forecasts inflation best implies that after the 2011 sovereign debt crisis the output gap in the euro area has been …

aggregate inflation and the higher-order moments of the distribution of relative price changes. Our empirical findings confirm … explanatory variable for the inflation rate. Further, the skewness measure also helps to explain shifts in the Phillips curve …

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the co-efficient in the Phillips curve on the …

provide the most precise forecasts for a set of eleven core macroeconomic variables, including GDP growth and CPI inflation …

period of 1994-2008. Except for short-term forecasts of inflation and interest rates, it is as good as or clearly outperforms …

procedure, such as the HP filter, and the steady state for other variables, including inflation, is treated as a constant. This … is inconsistent with the theory and raises econometric problems since inflation, for instance, is a very persistent …

contracts and positive inflation. Workers with relatively low incomes experience envy, whereas those with relatively high … incomes experience guilt. The former seek to raise their income, and the latter seek to reduce it. The greater the inflation … empirical evidence, a rise in the inflation rate leads workers to supply more labor over the contract period, generating a …