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We study the effect of tax policy on stock market returns in the United States, Germany, and the United Kingdom using … GARCH models and a unique daily dataset of legislative tax changes during the period 1 December 1978 to 31 January 2018. We … find that days of discretionary tax legislation during all stages of the process often matter for returns, both in terms of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012543679
We estimate the elasticities of the most important tax categories using a new quarterly database of discretionary tax … the UK, long-term tax-to-base elasticities are generally higher than short-term elasticities, whereas results for the US … close to unity. (iii) German and UK tax-to-output elasticities in the short term are lower than long-term elasticities, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012543693
of tax changes on consumption and savings; and 4) the effect of tax changes on labour market activities. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335867
unresponsive to taxation. Second, we look at self-reported labour supply adjustments following a recently enacted payroll tax …, as well as a substitution, effect of the tax change. Our conclusion is that effects of taxes on labour supply in Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435716
Using representative household surveys conducted during the COVID-19 pandemic in two emerging economies, Thailand and Vietnam, we examine the relationship between inflation expectations and consumption. In both countries, our results show an insignificant relationship between expected inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540077
This paper provides background information and basic descriptive statistics for a representative survey of the New Zealand population conducted on our behalf by Research New Zealand in May 2016. The survey addresses important fiscal and monetary policy issues, including: (1) public preferences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011537408
Using a narrative account of quarterly discretionary changes in tax liabilities from 1974Q4 to 2018Q2 in a VAR setting …, we study whether legislative tax changes affect the trade balance in the United States, Germany, and the United Kingdom …. As legislative tax changes we consider (i) all changes, (ii) personal income tax changes, (iii) business tax changes, (iv …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012543684
In response to the economic crisis created by the COVID-19 pandemic, many governments provided financial assistance to households. Using representative consumer surveys conducted during the pandemic in 2020, we examine the effects of this fiscal policy instrument on households in two emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012543701
A widespread view in the 'political budget cycles' literature is that incumbent politicians seek to influence voters' perceptions of their competence and/or preferences by using the composition of the fiscal budget as a signalling tool. However, little is known about whether voters actually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208400
In evaluating surveys conducted in Thailand and Vietnam during the COVID-19 pandemic, we find that the marginal propensity to consume is significantly larger for positive than for negative income shocks. This result contradicts a prediction from the lifecycle permanent income model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013193558