Showing 1 - 10 of 22
We study the effect of tax policy on stock market returns in the United States, Germany, and the United Kingdom using … GARCH models and a unique daily dataset of legislative tax changes during the period 1 December 1978 to 31 January 2018. We … find that days of discretionary tax legislation during all stages of the process often matter for returns, both in terms of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012543679
We estimate the elasticities of the most important tax categories using a new quarterly database of discretionary tax … the UK, long-term tax-to-base elasticities are generally higher than short-term elasticities, whereas results for the US … close to unity. (iii) German and UK tax-to-output elasticities in the short term are lower than long-term elasticities, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012543693
This paper studies regional output asymmetries following U.S. federal tax shocks. We estimate a vector autoregressive … model for each U.S. state, utilizing the exogenous tax shock series recently proposed by Romer and Romer (2010) and find … differences in the magnitude of regional tax multipliers suggests that industry composition of output and sociodemographic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294366
This paper empirically analyses the relationship between political leaders' socioeconomic backgrounds and public budget deficits utilising panel data on 21 OECD countries from 1980 to 2008. Building on sociological, as well as economic, research, we argue that the socioeconomic status of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294450
of tax changes on consumption and savings; and 4) the effect of tax changes on labour market activities. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335867
payroll tax reduction. Our results show that 55% of the respondents spend the extra money, indicating considerable potential … for tax changes to affect consumption and economic activity. Our analysis of the socio-demographic and economic … determinants of consumption responses suggests that temporary and permanent tax changes have a similar impact, that interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335885
Using representative household surveys conducted during the COVID-19 pandemic in two emerging economies, Thailand and Vietnam, we examine the relationship between inflation expectations and consumption. In both countries, our results show an insignificant relationship between expected inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540077
A widespread view in the 'political budget cycles' literature is that incumbent politicians seek to influence voters' perceptions of their competence and/or preferences by using the composition of the fiscal budget as a signalling tool. However, little is known about whether voters actually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208400
In evaluating surveys conducted in Thailand and Vietnam during the COVID-19 pandemic, we find that the marginal propensity to consume is significantly larger for positive than for negative income shocks. This result contradicts a prediction from the lifecycle permanent income model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013193558
Employing a sample of Spanish municipalities from the Madrid region for the period 2010-2019, we study the influence of a politician's sex on political budget cycles (PBCs). The Madrid region is subject to a homogenous set of budget rules, which allows consistently categorising budget...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013338765