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issue by estimating “unexplained” changes in tax and social contribution revenues, based on proxies for tax revenue bases … same exercise using alternative tax base proxies, either taken from forecasting models or on the basis of our knowledge of … the tax system in each country. The results show that, in the aggregate, revenue windfalls and shortfalls have exhibited a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605160
countries using pooled regressions. Fiscal effects are included via after-tax interest rates. Other factors shown to be relevant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604572
This paper provides new evidence on the effects of government spending shocks and the fiscal transmission mechanism in the euro area for the period 1980-2008. Our contribution is two-fold. First, we investigate changes in the macroeconomic impact of government spending shocks using time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325831
, possibly destroying the case for flexibility. Also, improved budget monitoring and greater transparency increase the benefits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604479
In this paper, we revisit the effects of government spending shocks on private consumption within an estimated New-Keynesian DSGE model of the euro area featuring non-Ricardian households. Employing Bayesian inference methods, we show that the presence of non-Ricardian households is in general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604559
The prevalence of either Ricardian or non-Ricardian fiscal regimes is important both for practical policy reasons and to assess fiscal sustainability, and this is of particular relevance for European Union countries. The purpose of this paper is to assess, with a panel data set, the empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604604
In order to assess the existence of expansionary fiscal consolidations in Europe, panel data models for private consumption are estimated for the EU15 countries, using annual data over the period 1970–2005. Three alternative approaches to determine fiscal episodes are used, and the level of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604721
at the European Central Bank to examine the potential benefits and spillovers of reducing labour-market distortions … caused by euro area tax structures. Our analysis shows that lowering tax distortions to levels prevailing in the United … States would result in an increase in hours worked and output by more than 10 percent. At the same time, tax reductions would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604793
This study examines the business cycle behaviour of public consumption and its main components; the public wage bill (including compensation per employee and public employment) and intermediate consumption in the euro area aggregate, euro area countries and a group of selected non-euro area OECD...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604803
We assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU15 over the period 1970-2006 using stationarity and cointegration analysis. Specifically, we use panel unit root tests of the first and second generation allowing in some cases for structural breaks. We also apply modern panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604866