Showing 1 - 10 of 20
We study the effect of tax policy on stock market returns in the United States, Germany, and the United Kingdom using … GARCH models and a unique daily dataset of legislative tax changes during the period 1 December 1978 to 31 January 2018. We … find that days of discretionary tax legislation during all stages of the process often matter for returns, both in terms of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012543679
This paper examines the pricing of public debt in a quantitative macroeconomic model with government default risk. Default may occur due to a fiscal policy that does not preclude a Ponzi game. When a build-up of public debt makes this outcome inevitable, households stop lending such that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325941
Recent macro developments in the euro area have highlighted the interactions between fiscal policy, sovereign debt, and financial fragility. We take a structural macroeconomic model with frictions in the financial intermediation process, in line with recent research, but introduce asset choice...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326246
Conventional wisdom teaches that the output response upon a fiscal expansion is higher under fixed than floating exchange rates for a small open economy. We analyse the effects of fiscal expansions using a New Keynesian model and find that this result reverses in times of sovereign default risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328326
of tax changes on consumption and savings; and 4) the effect of tax changes on labour market activities. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335867
Based on a rich database of government bond spreads and macroeconomic indicators over the period 2001-2008, we propose an empirical assessment of the role of fundamentals in driving long-term sovereign bond spreads of the new EU countries (Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Latvia, Lithuania, Hungary,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605139
We investigate the impact of fiscal variables on bond yield spreads relative to US Treasury bonds in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Russia and Turkey from May 1998 to December 2007. To account for the importance of market expectations we use projected values for fiscal and macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605147
This paper uses a dynamic panel approach to explain the determinants of widening sovereign bond yield spreads vis-à-vis Germany in selected euro area countries during the period end-July 2007 to end-March 2009, when the financial turmoil developed into a full-blown financial and economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605177
This note looks at US$ and DM/Euro denominated government bond spreads relative to US and German benchmark bonds before and after the start of the current financial crisis. The study finds, first, that bond yield spreads before and during the crisis can largely be explained on the basis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605198
We use realised variances and co-variances based on intraday data from Eurozone sovereign bond market to measure the dependence structure of eurozone sovereign yields. Our analysis focuses on the impact of news, obtained from the Eurointelligence newsflash, on the dependence structure. More news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605674