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Does government spending crowd in private consumption? Theory and empirical evidence for the euro area

Coenen, Günter; Straub, Roland - 2005

In this paper, we revisit the effects of government spending shocks on private consumption within an estimated New-Keynesian DSGE model of the euro area featuring non-Ricardian households. Employing Bayesian inference methods, we show that the presence of non-Ricardian households is in general...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604559

What accounts for the changes in U.S. fiscal policy transmission?

Bilbiie, Florin O.; Meier, André; Müller, Gernot J. - 2006

Using vector autoregressions on U.S. time series for 1957-1979 and 1983-2004, we find government spending shocks to have stronger effects on output, consumption, and wages in the earlier sample. We try to account for this observation within a DSGE model featuring price rigidities and limited...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604628

Monetary conservatism and fiscal policy

Adam, Klaus; Billi, Roberto M. - 2006

Does an inflation conservative central bank à la Rogoff (1985) remain desirable in a setting with endogenous fiscal policy? To provide an answer we study monetary and fiscal policy games without commitment in a dynamic stochastic sticky price economy with monopolistic distortions. Monetary...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604709

Fiscal convergence before entering the EMU

Onorante, Luca - 2006

The monetary integration of the acceding countries will proceed in several distinct steps, starting with membership in the European Union (EU), followed by participation in the so-called Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) II and ultimately entry into the euro area. This paper addresses the question...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604710

What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU? A panel data diagnostic

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2007

We assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU15 over the period 1970-2006 using stationarity and cointegration analysis. Specifically, we use panel unit root tests of the first and second generation allowing in some cases for structural breaks. We also apply modern panel...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604866

Global policy at the zero lower bound in a large-scale DSGE model

Gomes, Sandra; Jacquinot, Pascal; Mestre, Ricardo; … - 2010

The purpose of this paper is to analyse whether fiscal policies can alleviate the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on interest rates and if they should be coordinated internationally. The analysis is carried out using EAGLE, a DSGE model of the global economy. We consider that the fiscal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605300

The effects of legislated tax changes in Germany

Hayo, Bernd; Uhl, Matthias - 2011

This paper studies the short-run macroeconomic effects of legislated tax changes in Germany using a vector … autoregression (VAR) approach. Identification of the tax shock follows the narrative approach recently proposed by Romer and Romer … monetary policy reaction following announcement of the tax policy. In response to a 1 percent increase in the tax-to-GDP ratio …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286390

Fiscal and monetary rules for a currency union

Ferrero, Andrea - 2005

This paper addresses the question of the joint conduct of fiscal and monetary policy in a currency union. The problem is studied using a two-country DSGE framework with staggered price setting, monopolistic competition in the goods market, distortionary taxation and nominal debt. The two...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604548

Would the Bundesbank have prevented the Great Inflation in the United States?

Benati, Luca - 2009

Policy counterfactuals based on estimated structural VARs routinely suggest that bringing Alan Greenspan back in the 1970s’ United States would not have prevented the Great Inflation. We show that a standard policy counterfactual suggests that the Bundesbank–which is near-universally...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605180