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Hayo, Bernd; Uhl, Matthias - 2012

This paper studies regional output asymmetries following U.S. federal tax shocks. We estimate a vector autoregressive … model for each U.S. state, utilizing the exogenous tax shock series recently proposed by Romer and Romer (2010) and find … differences in the magnitude of regional tax multipliers suggests that industry composition of output and sociodemographic …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294366

Transmission of Government Spending Shocks in the Euro Area: Time Variation and Driving Forces

Kirchner, Markus; Cimadomo, Jacopo; Hauptmeier, Sebastian - 2010

This paper provides new evidence on the effects of government spending shocks and the fiscal transmission mechanism in the euro area for the period 1980-2008. Our contribution is two-fold. First, we investigate changes in the macroeconomic impact of government spending shocks using time-varying...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325831

Default Risk Premia on Government Bonds in a Quantitative Macroeconomic Model

Juessen, Falko; Linnemann, Ludger; Schabert, Andreas - 2009

This paper examines the pricing of public debt in a quantitative macroeconomic model with government default risk. Default may occur due to a fiscal policy that does not preclude a Ponzi game. When a build-up of public debt makes this outcome inevitable, households stop lending such that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325941

Fiscal Deficits, Financial Fragility, and the Effectiveness of Government Policies

Kirchner, Markus; van Wijnbergen, Sweder - 2012

Recent macro developments in the euro area have highlighted the interactions between fiscal policy, sovereign debt, and financial fragility. We take a structural macroeconomic model with frictions in the financial intermediation process, in line with recent research, but introduce asset choice...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326246

Does government spending crowd in private consumption? Theory and empirical evidence for the euro area

Coenen, Günter; Straub, Roland - 2005

In this paper, we revisit the effects of government spending shocks on private consumption within an estimated New-Keynesian DSGE model of the euro area featuring non-Ricardian households. Employing Bayesian inference methods, we show that the presence of non-Ricardian households is in general...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604559

The economic effects of exogenous fiscal shocks in Spain: a SVAR approach

de Castro Fernández, Francisco; Hernández de Cos, Pablo - 2006

deficits and lower output in the medium and long term. Tax increases are found to drag economic activity in the medium term …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604693

What are the effects of fiscal policy shocks? A VAR-based comparative analysis

Caldara, Dario; Kamps, Christophe - 2008

disagrees on even the qualitative response of key macroeconomic variables to government spending and tax shocks. We provide new … diverging results as regards the effects of tax shocks, with the estimated effects ranging from non-distortionary to strongly …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604923

Determinants of government bond spreads in new EU countries

Alexopoulou, Ioana; Bunda, Irina; Ferrando, Annalisa - 2009

Based on a rich database of government bond spreads and macroeconomic indicators over the period 2001-2008, we propose an empirical assessment of the role of fundamentals in driving long-term sovereign bond spreads of the new EU countries (Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Latvia, Lithuania, Hungary,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605139

Fiscal variables and bond spreads: evidence from eastern European countries and Turkey

Nickel, Christiane; Rother, Philipp; Rülke, Jan C. - 2009

We investigate the impact of fiscal variables on bond yield spreads relative to US Treasury bonds in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Russia and Turkey from May 1998 to December 2007. To account for the importance of market expectations we use projected values for fiscal and macroeconomic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605147

What explains the surge in euro area sovereign spreads during the financial crisis of 2007-09?

Attinasi, Maria-Grazia; Checherita-Westphal, Cristina; … - 2009

This paper uses a dynamic panel approach to explain the determinants of widening sovereign bond yield spreads vis-à-vis Germany in selected euro area countries during the period end-July 2007 to end-March 2009, when the financial turmoil developed into a full-blown financial and economic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605177