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and estimation uncertainty and no robust evidence for total private saving offset. Our results for the euro area are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310202
Fiscal rules have become popular to limit deficits and high debt burdens in industrialized countries. A growing literature examines their impact based on aggregate fiscal performance. So far, no evidence exists on how fiscal rules influence deficit expectations of fiscal policy makers. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010357588
Recent fiscal policies have aimed to stimulate household spending. In 2008, most households received one-time economic stimulus payments. In 2009, most working households received the Making Work Pay tax credit in the form of reduced withholding; other households, mainly retirees, received...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130153
We investigate the impact of fiscal stimuli at different levels of the government debt-to-GDP-ratio for a sample of 17 European countries from 1970 to 2010. This is implemented in an interacted panel VAR framework in which all coefficient parameters are allowed to change continuously with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087096
The empirical literature using vector autoregressive models to assess the effects of fiscal policy shocks strongly disagrees on even the qualitative response of key macroeconomic variables to government spending and tax shocks. We provide new evidence for the U.S. over the period 1955-2006. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012766572
In this paper, we propose a time-varying parameter VAR model with stochastic volatility which allows for estimation on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013646
We quantify the fiscal multipliers in response to the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009. We extend the benchmark Smets-Wouters (Smets and Wouters, 2007) New Keynesian model, allowing for credit-constrained households, the zero lower bound, government capital and distortionary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009129765
policy "instrument", the structural primary balance, should be used in the estimation of fiscal policy reaction functions. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604965
Hours worked is a time series of interest in many empirical investigations of the macroeconomy. Estimates of macro elasticities of labour supply, for example, build on this variable. Other empirical applications investigate the response of hours worked to a shock to technology on the basis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003314703
In this paper we model the adjustment process of European Union Allowance (EUA) prices to the releases of announcements at high-frequency controlling for intraday periodicity, volatility clustering and volatility persistence. We find that the high-frequency EUA price dynamics are very well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003977656