inflation and the role of inflation expectations. In relation to the recent weakness of inflation, we discuss the role of firm … supports the view that the absorption of slack and a firm anchoring of inflation expectations remain central to successful … inflation stabilisation …

Following Fuhrer and Moore (1995), several authors have proposed alternative mechanisms to 'hardwire' inflation … European Monetary Union, of inflation-targeting countries, and of the new Swiss monetary policy regime, I show that, in the …), the parameters encoding the 'intrinsic' component of inflation persistence are not invariant across monetary policy …

We jointly estimate the natural rate of interest, the natural rate of unemployment, expected inflation, and potential …-variation in (i) the data-generation process for inflation, which we capture via a time-varying parameters specification for the … Phillips curve portion of the model; and (ii) the volatilities of disturbances to inflation and cyclical(log) output, which we …

changes does not change much with inflation and does not react much to aggregate shocks; (vi) changes in inflation are mostly … consistent with the predictions of a menu cost model in a low inflation environment where idiosyncratic shocks are a more …

We use a Bayesian time-varying parameters structural VAR with stochastic volatility for GDP deflator inflation, real … Inflation was due, to a dominant extent, to large demand non-policy shocks, and to a lesser extent–especially in 1973 and 1979 … difference in terms of inflation and output growth outcomes; and (3)mechanically ‘bringing the Monetary Policy Committee vback in …

striking negative correlation between the evolution of the long-run coefficient on inflation in the monetary rule and the … evolution of the persistence and predictability of inflation relative to a trend component. Using a standard sticky-price model …, we show that a more aggressive policy stance towards inflation causes a decline in inflation predictability, providing a …

variances for all series, and decreases in the variances of inflation and the output gap, without any need of sunspot shocks …

1970s' United States would not have prevented the Great Inflation. We show that a standard policy counterfactual suggests … that the Bundesbank – which is near-universally credited for sparing West Germany the Great Inflation – would also not have … been able to prevent the Great Inflation in the United States. The sheer implausibility of this result sounds a cautionary …

striking negative correlation between the evolution of the long-run coefficient on inflation in the monetary rule and the … evolution of the persistence and predictability of inflation relative to a trend component. Using a standard sticky-price model …, we show that a more aggressive policy stance towards inflation causes a decline in inflation predictability, providing a …