Showing 1 - 10 of 10
inflation and the role of inflation expectations. In relation to the recent weakness of inflation, we discuss the role of firm … supports the view that the absorption of slack and a firm anchoring of inflation expectations remain central to successful … inflation stabilisation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834963
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422062
, subsequently, we didn't see the inflation they predicted. We show that these puzzles disappear in a Vector Autoregressive model … much of the inflation dynamics in the 2012-2014 euro area missing inflation episode. Consequently, economists and models … that excessively focused on the global nature of inflation were liable to miss the contribution of deflationary domestic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963925
changes does not change much with inflation and does not react much to aggregate shocks; (vi) changes in inflation are mostly … consistent with the predictions of a menu cost model in a low inflation environment where idiosyncratic shocks are a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082035
are consistent with the behavior of inflation. We label these deviations the output gap. In order to pin-down the features … of the model, we evaluate the accuracy of real-time inflation forecasts from different model specifications. The version … that forecasts inflation best implies that after the 2011 sovereign debt crisis the output gap in the euro area has been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981025
This paper studies the determinants of the euro exchange rate during the European sovereign debt crisis, allowing a role for macroeconomic fundamentals, policy actions and the public debate by policy makers. It finds that the euro exchange rate mainly danced to its own tune, with a particularly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083696
volatile inflation, the Phillips curve is steeper than in the euro area countries. This finding is consistent with economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765781
The news about the economy contained in a central bank announcement can affect public expectations. This paper shows, using both event studies and vector autoregressions, that such central bank information effects are an important channel of the transatlantic spillover of monetary policy. They...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315198
Price inflation in the euro area has been stable and low since the Global Financial Crisis, despite notable changes in … output and unemployment. We show that an increasing share of high markup firms is part of the explanation of why inflation … countries and, by linking these markup developments to the evolution of sectoral level producer and consumer price inflation, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819031
Price inflation in the euro area has been stable and low since the Global Financial Crisis, despite notable changes in … output and unemployment. We show that an increasing share of high markup firms is part of the explanation of why inflation … countries and, by linking these markup developments to the evolution of sectoral level producer and consumer price inflation, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313119