Showing 1 - 10 of 11
inflation and the role of inflation expectations. In relation to the recent weakness of inflation, we discuss the role of firm … supports the view that the absorption of slack and a firm anchoring of inflation expectations remain central to successful … inflation stabilisation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834963
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422062
changes does not change much with inflation and does not react much to aggregate shocks; (vi) changes in inflation are mostly … consistent with the predictions of a menu cost model in a low inflation environment where idiosyncratic shocks are a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082035
This paper studies the determinants of the euro exchange rate during the European sovereign debt crisis, allowing a role for macroeconomic fundamentals, policy actions and the public debate by policy makers. It finds that the euro exchange rate mainly danced to its own tune, with a particularly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083696
We propose a shadow-rate term structure model for the euro area yield curve from 1999 to mid-2015, when bond yields had turned negative at various maturities. Yields in the model are constrained by a lower bound, but - as a special feature of our specification - the bound is allowed to change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963943
inflation almost universally to the upside; and the second – starting well into the post-Lehman period – characterised by … stability with a hard 2% ceiling, functioned as a key shock-absorber in the relatively high-inflation years prior to the crisis … inflation and economic activity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844614
Starting in summer 2014, markets began to build up expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) would embark on large-scale sovereign bond purchases. The ECB's Public Sector Purchase Programme (PSPP) was eventually announced on 22 January 2015 and purchases started in March. Both during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944299
We trace the impact of the ECB's asset purchase programme (APP) on the sovereign yield curve. Exploiting granular information on sectoral asset holdings and ECB asset purchases, we construct a novel measure of the “free-float of duration risk” borne by price-sensitive investors. We include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866996
inflation would have been 1.1 p.p. and 0.75 p.p. lower, respectively, and the unemployment rate 1.1 p.p. higher than they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225325
Price inflation in the euro area has been stable and low since the Global Financial Crisis, despite notable changes in … output and unemployment. We show that an increasing share of high markup firms is part of the explanation of why inflation … countries and, by linking these markup developments to the evolution of sectoral level producer and consumer price inflation, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819031