Showing 1 - 10 of 10
inflation and the role of inflation expectations. In relation to the recent weakness of inflation, we discuss the role of firm … supports the view that the absorption of slack and a firm anchoring of inflation expectations remain central to successful … inflation stabilisation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834963
In most OECD countries, we cannot reject up to three breaks in the mean of inflation: one break in the late 1960’s … phenomena. We also show that ignoring breaks in the mean of inflation clearly lead to overrate inflation persistence in standard … bi-variate models of inflation. The response of inflation to shocks in these models is markedly faster with breaks than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604497
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422062
This paper shows that inflation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, inflations of (22 … associated to Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to 1980 and down thereafter …) but also to fluctuations at business cycle frequencies. Second, Global Inflation is, consistently with standard models of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604583
inflation series of the euro area CPI translates into the slow adjustment of euro area aggregate inflation. We first estimate a … dynamic factor model for 404 inflation sub-indices of the euro area CPI. This allows to decompose the dynamics of inflation … the overall variance of the 404 disaggregate inflation series, is the main driver of aggregate dynamics. In addition, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604775
changes does not change much with inflation and does not react much to aggregate shocks; (vi) changes in inflation are mostly … consistent with the predictions of a menu cost model in a low inflation environment where idiosyncratic shocks are a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082035
unsystematic monetary policy) have a delayed, persistent, hump shaped effect on inflation. I argue that this empirical pattern is … fragile. In particular it disappears when one corrects for the effects of large shifts (breaks) in average inflation or … estimated response of inflation is not appropriate to fit stylised models of the response of inflation around a stable steady …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604605
This paper studies the determinants of the euro exchange rate during the European sovereign debt crisis, allowing a role for macroeconomic fundamentals, policy actions and the public debate by policy makers. It finds that the euro exchange rate mainly danced to its own tune, with a particularly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083696
Price inflation in the euro area has been stable and low since the Global Financial Crisis, despite notable changes in … output and unemployment. We show that an increasing share of high markup firms is part of the explanation of why inflation … countries and, by linking these markup developments to the evolution of sectoral level producer and consumer price inflation, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819031
Price inflation in the euro area has been stable and low since the Global Financial Crisis, despite notable changes in … output and unemployment. We show that an increasing share of high markup firms is part of the explanation of why inflation … countries and, by linking these markup developments to the evolution of sectoral level producer and consumer price inflation, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313119