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estimates for inflation forecasting both in the short term (one-quarter and one-year ahead) and the medium term (two-year and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316260
regards the possibility of a time-varying mean of inflation. Moreover, we conduct a sensitivity analysis across different … of the Phillips curve occurring in the early to mid 1980s, but not in inflation persistence once the mean shift is … allowed for. As a result of the structural change, the Phillips curve became flatter around a lower mean of inflation. Second …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776127
changes does not change much with inflation and does not react much to aggregate shocks; (vi) changes in inflation are mostly … consistent with the predictions of a menu cost model in a low inflation environment where idiosyncratic shocks are a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082035
The paper provides a systematic empirical analysis of the role of the housing market in the macroeconomy in the US and in the euro area. First, it establishes some stylised facts concerning key variables in the housing market, such as the real house price, residential investment and mortgage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116395
stochastic volatility. The evidence suggests that the APP had a significant upward effect on both real GDP and HICP inflation in … HICP inflation seems more marked in the medium term. Moreover, several channels of transmission appear to have been … activated, including the portfolio rebalancing channel, the exchange rate channel, the inflation re-anchoring channel and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954345