Showing 1 - 8 of 8
We estimate the approximate nonlinear solution of a small DSGE model on euro area data, using the conditional particle filter to compute the model likelihood. Our results are consistent with previous findings, based on simulated data, suggesting that this approach delivers sharper inference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604800
We estimate the approximate nonlinear solution of a small DSGE model on euro area data, using the conditional particle filter to compute the model likelihood. Our results are consistent with previous findings, based on simulated data, suggesting that this approach delivers sharper inference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317094
changes does not change much with inflation and does not react much to aggregate shocks; (vi) changes in inflation are mostly … consistent with the predictions of a menu cost model in a low inflation environment where idiosyncratic shocks are a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082035
-term inflation volatility in response to exogenous shocks can be optimal; the optimal response to adverse financial shocks is to … lower interest rates, if not at the zero bound, and to engineer a short period of controlled inflation; the Taylor rule may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605169
We measure the heterogeneous welfare effects of the recent inflation surge across households in the Euro Area. A simple … framework illustrating the numerous channels of the transmission mechanism of surprise inflation to household welfare guides our …; (ii) this inflation episode resembles an age-dependent tax, with the elderly losing up to 20%, and roughly half of the 25 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543620
-term inflation volatility in response to exogenous shocks can be optimal; that the optimal response to adverse financial shocks is to … lower interest rates, if not at the zero bound, and to engineer a short period of inflation; that the Taylor rule may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116576
This paper analyses the effects of the European Central Bank's expanded asset purchase programme (APP) on yields and on the macroeconomy, and sheds some light on its transmission channels. It shows, first, that the January 2015 announcement of the programme has significantly and persistently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983090
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …-linked bonds. Our results show that, in both currency areas, inflation risk premia are relatively small, positive, and increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135685