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Following Fuhrer and Moore (1995), several authors have proposed alternative mechanisms to 'hardwire' inflation … European Monetary Union, of inflation-targeting countries, and of the new Swiss monetary policy regime, I show that, in the …), the parameters encoding the 'intrinsic' component of inflation persistence are not invariant across monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764450
In view of the increasing use of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models in the macroeconomic projections and the policy process, this paper examines, both conceptually and empirically, alternative notions of potential output within DSGE models. Furthermore, it provides historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124588
Building on the New Area Wide Model, we develop a 4-region macroeconomic model of the euro area and the world economy. The model (EAGLE, Euro Area and Global Economy model) is microfounded and designed for conducting quantitative policy analysis of macroeconomic interdependence across regions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143817
area, Japan, and U.K.) a compression in the long-term yield spread exerts a powerful effect on both output growth and … inflation. Second, conditional on available estimates of the impact of the FED's and the Bank of England's asset purchase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137091
I find that the Euro-system can stimulate the economy beyond the policy rate by increasing the size of its balance sheet or the monetary base. The transmission mechanism turns out to be different compared to traditional interest rate innovations: (i) whilst the effects on economic activity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119125
international shock propagation for the euro area, the US, Japan, the UK, China, oil-exporting economies and the rest of the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958272
In this study, we approximate the financial cycle in Europe by combining potential common and relevant financial indicators. We consider different credit aggregates and asset prices but also incorporate banking sector indicators for 11 European countries. We develop seven different synthetic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020632
This paper provides a detailed description of an extended version of the ECB’s New Area-Wide Model (NAWM) of the euro area (cf. Christoffel, Coenen, and Warne 2008). The extended model—called NAWM II—incorporates a rich financial sector with the threefold aim of (i) accounting for a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315382
inflation while declaring monetary aggregates largely irrelevant. Critics, however, have argued that these models need to be … modified to account for observed money growth and inflation trends, and that monetary trends may serve as a useful cross … persistent errors in monetary policy and sustained trends in money growth and inflation. If interest rate prescriptions derived …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012768875
Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963915