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We focus on a quantitative assessment of rigid labor markets in an environment of stable monetary policy. We ask how wages and labor market shocks feed into the inflation process and derive monetary policy implications. Towards that aim, we structurally model matching frictions and rigid wages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604681
workers who received overtime payments. The procyclicality of earnings revealed for Germany is of comparable size with the one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604829
this methodology to monthly data from both Germany and the US. We find that implied volatilities contain a substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605083
We forecast recession probabilities for the United States, Germany and Japan. The predictions are based on the widely … reached for the United States, the ProbVAR forecasts are slightly worse for Germany, but considerably inferior for Japan. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605301