Showing 1 - 10 of 240
This paper studies factors behind inflation dynamics in the euro area, the UK and the US. It introduces a factor … inflation in the three economies. The FAVAR model framework is also applied to study the effects on inflation subcomponents in … the more recent past. The FAVAR models suggest that headline inflation in the three economies has reacted in a relatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020653
Is inflation persistence in the new EU Member States (NMS) comparable to that in the euro area countries? We argue that … show that due to frequent breaks in inflation time series in the NMS, parametric statistical measures assuming a constant …-varying mean leads to the reversal of this result and suggests similar or lower inflation persistence for the NMS compared to euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767014
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120765
The period of extraordinary volatility in euro area headline inflation starting in 2007 raised the question whether … for HICP headline inflation and HICP excluding food and energy. We investigate how forecast accuracy of the combination … including the global financial crisis with its extraordinary volatility in inflation. Overall, we find that forecast combination …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965542
linked to the monetary policy regime. Before and after the "Great Inflation", nominal wages moved in the same direction as … the (required) adjustment of real wages, and in the opposite direction of the price response. During the "Great Inflation … increasing inflation volatility. Using a standard DSGE model, we show that these stylized facts, in particular the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316191
linked to the monetary policy regime. Before and after the "Great Inflation", nominal wages moved in the same direction as … the (required) adjustment of real wages, and in the opposite direction of the price response. During the "Great Inflation … increasing inflation volatility. Using a standard DSGE model, we show that these stylized facts, in particular the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605276
Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963915
This paper decomposes the time-varying effect of exogenous exchange rate shocks on euro area countries inflation into … quarters of the past six years, especially in turning point periods. Our main results indicate that headline inflation in euro … inflation this increasing sensitivity is solely reliant on a sustained surge in the degree of comovement, for energy inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838756
This paper documents, for the first time in a systematic manner, the link between labor cost and price inflation in the … and price inflation in the four major economies of the euro area and across the three main sectors. The dynamic …. Our results show that it is more likely that labor costs are passed on to price inflation with demand shocks than with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893508
The purpose of this paper is to study the compensation for inflation risks priced in sovereign bond yields. And we do … so by modelling the time-varying dynamics of asset returns and inflation, and then estimating the cost of hedging … inflation risks from the perspective of a well diversified portfolio. This allows to disentangle the time-varying compensation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830326