Showing 1 - 10 of 59
The paper assesses the communication strategies of the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank and their effectiveness. We find that the effectiveness of communication is not independent from the decisionmaking process in the committee. The paper shows that the Federal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604534
The paper shows that central bank communication is a key determinant of the market’s ability to anticipate monetary policy decisions and the future path of interest rates. Comparing communication policies by the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the ECB since 1999, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604603
This paper explores whether there are systematic patterns as to when members of the decision-making committees of the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank communicate with the public, and under what circumstances such communication has the ability to move financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604611
, we focus on the asset pricing implications of the euro. Specifically, we use a dynamic no arbitrage term structure model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604644
We combine the dynamic dividend-discount model with an accounting-based vector autoregression framework that allows for a decomposition of EU banks' stock returns to cash-flow and expected return news components. The main findings are that while the bulk of the variability of EU banks' stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604723
This paper contributes to the existing literature on central bank repoauctions. It is based on a structural econometric approach, whereby the primitives of bidding behavior (individual bid schedules and bid-shading components) are directly estimated. With the estimated parameters we calibrate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604839
spreads. Using a modified version of the intertemporal capital asset pricing model, we show that default risk premia represent … tails. The pricing implications of this new factor are not limited to credit markets only. We find that this common factor … is priced consistently across a broad spectrum of corporate bond portfolios. In addition, our asset pricing tests also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604851
This paper proposes an equilibrium relationship between expected exchange rate changes and differentials in expected returns on risky assets. We show that when expected returns on a risky asset in a certain economy are higher than the returns that are expected from investing in a risky asset in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604858
This paper provides a toolkit for extracting accurate information about inflation expectations using inflation-linked bonds. First, we show how to estimate term structures of zero-coupon real rates and break-even inflation rates (BEIRs) in the euro area. This improves the analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604876
With the aim of constructing predictive distributions for daily returns, we introduce a new Markov normal mixture model in which the components are themselves normal mixtures. We derive the restrictions on the autocovariances and linear representation of integer powers of the time series in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604877