Showing 1 - 10 of 27
This paper relates the size of the cyclical inflation differentials, currently observed for euro area countries, to the … cyclical inflation differentials. The proposed mechanism is a supply side one in which differences in labor market institutions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317627
employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783591
This paper investigates the importance of labor market institutions for inflation and unemployment dynamics. Using the … and their interaction is crucial for the dynamics of inflation and unemployment. We estimate a panel VAR with … deterministically varying coefficients and find that there is a profound difference in the responses of unemployment and inflation to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144855
This paper analyzes the performance of global value chains during the trade collapse. To do so, it exploits a unique transaction-level dataset on French firms containing information on cross-border monthly transactions matched with data on worldwide intra-firm linkages as defined by property...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113261
, though to a lesser extent, GDP and inflation growth over the same period and pre-crisis foreign exchange reserves. Government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965544
We analyse the effects of money growth within a standard New Keynesian framework and show that the interaction between staggered nominal contracts and money growth leads to a long-run trade-off between output and money growth. We explore the microeconomic mechanisms that lead to this trade-off,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604458
Existing work on wage bargaining (as exemplified by Cukierman and Lippi, 2001) typically predicts more aggressive wage setting under monetary union. This insight has not been confirmed by the EMU experience, which has been characterised by wage moderation, thereby eliciting criticism from Posen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605104
results suggest that euro-area inflation forecasts have reacted less to unemployment forecasts after the start of the … financial crisis but another cost measure (energy inflation) remains significant. This finding is consistent with a flatter … better anchoring of inflation expectations and increases in structural unemployment do not seem to find support in the survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605808
This paper explores the role that inflation forecasts play in the uncertainty surrounding the estimated effects of … alternative monetary rules on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We use the inflation forecasts of 8 competing … relative to the different inflation models under two rules. The results suggest that model uncertainty can be a serious issue …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777870
All else equal, higher wages translate into higher inflation. More rigid wages imply a weaker response of inflation to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604969