Showing 1 - 10 of 303
This paper studies the role of inflation in the determination of financial asset prices. We estimate an Intertemporal … Capital Asset Pricing Model à la Merton (1973), with inflation as an independent source of risk, for France and Germany. Our … the convergence process towards the single currency might have affected the role of inflation in the pricing of financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604482
This paper uses disaggregated CPI time series to show that a break in the mean of French inflation occurred in the mid … mean break, both aggregate and sectoral inflation persistence are stable and low, with the unit root lying far in the tail … price changes (at the firm level) appears positively related with inflation persistence (at the aggregate level). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604509
inflation series of the euro area CPI translates into the slow adjustment of euro area aggregate inflation. We first estimate a … dynamic factor model for 404 inflation sub-indices of the euro area CPI. This allows to decompose the dynamics of inflation … the overall variance of the 404 disaggregate inflation series, is the main driver of aggregate dynamics. In addition, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604775
looking pricing account for the observed persistence in aggregate inflation. Second, price-setting responds to movements in … marginal costs, which should therefore be the driving force to observed inflation dynamics. This is not always the case in … conditions under which imposing homogeneity results in overestimating a backward-looking component in (aggregate) inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604831
inflation series of the euro area CPI translates into the slow adjustment of euro area aggregate inflation. We first estimate a … dynamic factor model for 404 inflation sub-indices of the euro area CPI. This allows to decompose the dynamics of inflation … overall variance of the 404 disaggregate inflation series, is the main driver of aggregate dynamics. In addition, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777732
This paper analyzes the predictability of emerging market currency crises by comparing the often used probit model to a new method, namely a multi-layer perceptron artificial neural network (ANN) model. According to the results, both models were able to signal currency crises reasonably well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604617
Although many papers have already proposed empirical models of currency crises, the timing of such crises has received relatively little attention so far. Most papers use indeed a static specification and impose the same lag structure across all explanatory variables. This, by construction,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604759
The impact of currency collapses (i.e. large nominal depreciations or devaluations) on real output remains unsettled in the empirical macroeconomic literature. This paper provides new empirical evidence on this relationship using a dataset for 108 emerging and developing economies for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605272
, increasing FDI inflows, rising money market rates as well as increasing world GDP and inflation were common leading indicators of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099231
The empirical literature on systemic banking crises (SBCs) has shown that SBCs are rare events that break out in the midst of credit intensive booms and bring about particularly deep and long-lasting recessions. We attempt to explain these phenomena within a dynamic general equilibrium model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086964