alternative monetary rules on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We use the inflation forecasts of 8 competing …This paper explores the role that inflation forecasts play in the uncertainty surrounding the estimated effects of … relative to the different inflation models under two rules. The results suggest that model uncertainty can be a serious issue …

employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …

on output and, in particular, also on inflation in the euro area under alternative settings for monetary policy. We … that this over-proportionality is stronger for the fiscal multiplier on inflation than on output. We relate this finding to …

This paper provides a comprehensive empirical analysis of the role of discretionary fiscal policy for inflation … is difficult to find robust evidence of the fiscal policy stance or impulse impacting directly on inflation differentials …. We do find, however, support for an indirect effect of discretionary fiscal policy on inflation differentials working …

, Malaysia). Among countries with inflation below target, in those with trend inflation low but constant (Australia, New Zealand …Trend inflation estimates for 12 of the largest Asian economies over 1995-2018 offer important insights on inflation … dynamics and inflation expectations. The disinflationary shocks that hit the region since 2014 were partly transitory, but …

policy rules: we model inflation to be stationary, with the output gap pinning down deviations of inflation from its …

Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no …, inflation appears to be (nearly) purely forward-looking, so that no mechanism introducing backward-looking components is … necessary to fit the data. These results question the notion that the intrinsic inflation persistence found in post-WWII U …

capital and use the resulting model to discuss the concept of the ‘non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment'. We then …We propose a monetary model in which the unemployed satisfy the official US definition of unemployment: they are people ….e., unemployment is ‘involuntary'). We integrate our model of involuntary unemployment into the simple New Keynesian framework with no …

This paper investigates the importance of labor market institutions for inflation and unemployment dynamics. Using the … and their interaction is crucial for the dynamics of inflation and unemployment. We estimate a panel VAR with … deterministically varying coefficients and find that there is a profound difference in the responses of unemployment and inflation to …