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Using a Bayesian likelihood approach, we estimate a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for the US economy using seven macro-economic time series. The model incorporates many types of real and nominal frictions and seven types of structural shocks. We show that this model is able to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317250
dollar shock, generalised impulse response function shocks and a global shock to risk aversion. Our results show that the way … depends crucially on the nature of the shock. This result is noteworthy given the apparent divergence in competitiveness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130602
A core stylized fact of the empirical exchange rate literature is that half-life deviations of equilibrium real exchange rates from levels implied by Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) are very persistent. Empirical efforts to explain this persistence typically proceed along two distinct paths,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134541
This paper decomposes the time-varying effect of exogenous exchange rate shocks on euro area countries inflation into country-specific (idiosyncratic) and region-wide (common) components. To do so, we propose a flexible empirical framework based on dynamic factor models subject to drifting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838756
The elasticity of exports to exchange rate fluctuations has been the subject of a large literature without a clear consensus emerging. Using a novel sector level dataset based on firm level information, we show that exchange rate elasticities double in size when the country and sector specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020655
In this paper we examine linkages across non-energy commodity price developments by means of a factor-augmented VAR model (FAVAR). From a set of non-energy commodity price series, we extract two factors, which we identify as common trends in metals and a food prices. These factors are included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146204
-2012) in the Polish economy. The empirical findings show that: (1) output appears more responsive to an interest rate shock at … the beginning of our sample. Since 2000, absorbing this shock has become less costly in terms of output, notwithstanding … some reversal since the beginning of the global financial crisis. The exchange rate shock also has a time-varying effect on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060040
, oil exporters experience significant appreciation pressures following an oil demand shock, which they tend to counter by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315906
The paper analyses the heterogeneity in the link between macroeconomic fundamentals and exchange rates. For a set of important US-specific economic shocks, it shows that such shocks have exerted a remarkably heterogeneous effect on global exchange rate configurations over the past 25 years....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316761
activity and prices. According to our results, among the main euro area sectors an exchange rate shock has the strongest impact … supply, and in line with this producer prices in MIG energy are most sensitive to an exchange rate shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316897