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Is there a systematic mapping between the Federal Reserve’s expectations of macro variables and the words it uses to talk about the economy? We propose a simple framework that allows us to estimate communication rules in the United States based on text analysis with regularized regressions. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264958
banking. Germany achieved a high degree of domestic stability and provided safe haven for investors in times of turmoil in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605066
that the Bundesbank – which is near-universally credited for sparing West Germany the Great Inflation – would also not have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153230
Starting in summer 2014, markets began to build up expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) would embark on large-scale sovereign bond purchases. The ECB's Public Sector Purchase Programme (PSPP) was eventually announced on 22 January 2015 and purchases started in March. Both during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944299
government bond yields by about 2 percentage points, while leaving unchanged the bond yields of the same maturity in Germany and … France, Germany, Italy, and Spain. The scenario analysis suggests that the reduction in bond yields due to OMT announcements … spillovers in France and Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051170
Using micro price data underlying the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices in France, Germany and Italy, we estimate … France, 1.2%-2.0% in Germany, 0.8%-1.0% in Italy, and 1.1-1.7% in the Euro Area (three country average). Differences across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218076
We compute average mark-ups as a measure of market power throughout time and study their interaction with fiscal policy and macroeconomic variables in a VAR framework. From impulse-response functions the results, with annual data for a set of 14 OECD countries covering the period 1970-2007, show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145150
We focus on a quantitative assessment of rigid labor markets in an environment of stable monetary policy. We ask how wages and labor market shocks feed into the inflation process and derive monetary policy implications. Towards that aim, we structurally model matching frictions and rigid wages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317584
Differences in labour market institutions and regulations between countries of the monetary union can cause divergent responses even to a common shock. We augment a multi-country model of the euro area with search and matching framework that differs across Ricardian and hand-to-mouth households....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014258210
Germany as center countries with rising/high current account deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by … analysis extends from 1981-2008, the results for Germany mostly capture the situation before the euro was created …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142986