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This paper shows that inflation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, the inflation rates … variance share that is associated with Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to …. The co-movement of inflation comes largely from common shocks. Global Inflation is a function of real developments at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318220
We investigate heterogeneity and spillovers in macro-financial linkages across developed economies, with a particular emphasis in the most recent recession. A panel Bayesian VAR model including real and financial variables identifies a statistically significant common component, which turns out...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097758
Using OECD composite leading indicators (CLI), we assess empirically whether the ability of the country-specific CLIs to predict economic activity has diminished in recent years, e.g. due to rapid advances in globalisation. Overall, we find evidence that the CLI encompasses useful information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153432
This paper explores implications of climate change for fiscal policy by assessing the impact of large scale extreme weather events on changes in public budgets. We apply alternative measures for large scale extreme weather events and conclude that the budgetary impact of such events ranges...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159926
This paper shows that inflation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, inflations of (22 … associated to Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to 1980 and down thereafter …) but also to fluctuations at business cycle frequencies. Second, Global Inflation is, consistently with standard models of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604583
This paper studies how disasters affect consumer price inflation, one of the main remaining gaps in our understanding … type of disasters, particularly when considering inflation sub-indices. Storms increase food price inflation in the near … term, although the effect dissipates within a year. Floods also typically have a short-run impact on inflation. Earthquakes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963906
coordinated wage bargaining systems have a dampening impact on inflation volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316420
This paper studies the role of global factors in causing common movements in consumer price inflation, with particular … collected from national and international sources. Global factors explain a large share of the variance of national inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962351
Inflation has been well contained over the last decades in most industrialized countries. This implies, however, that … memories of high inflation are likely to fade, because over time larger parts of the population have never experienced high … inflation, whereas those who have might forget. This paper tests whether memories of high inflation affect agents' preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156233
countries with low inflation, the raw relationship between average inflation and the growth rate of money is tenuous at best … elasticities implied by theories of Baumol-Tobin and Miller-Orr. Finally, the sample after 1990 shows considerably less inflation … variability, worsening the fit of a one-for-one relationship between money growth and inflation, and generates a fairly low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073658