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We investigate heterogeneity and spillovers in macro-financial linkages across developed economies, with a particular emphasis in the most recent recession. A panel Bayesian VAR model including real and financial variables identifies a statistically significant common component, which turns out...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097758
This paper explores implications of climate change for fiscal policy by assessing the impact of large scale extreme weather events on changes in public budgets. We apply alternative measures for large scale extreme weather events and conclude that the budgetary impact of such events ranges...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159926
This paper shows that inflation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, inflations of (22 … associated to Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to 1980 and down thereafter …) but also to fluctuations at business cycle frequencies. Second, Global Inflation is, consistently with standard models of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604583
We examine the global dimension of inflation in 24 OECD countries between 1980 and 2007 in a traditional Phillips curve … to affect inflation through (the common part of) domestic demand and supply conditions. Our most important result is that … the common component of changes in unit labor costs has a notable impact of inflation. We also find evidence that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765190
We compute average mark-ups as a measure of market power throughout time and study their interaction with fiscal policy and macroeconomic variables in a VAR framework. From impulse-response functions the results, with annual data for a set of 14 OECD countries covering the period 1970-2007, show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145150
This paper shows that inflation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, the inflation rates … variance share that is associated with Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to …. The co-movement of inflation comes largely from common shocks. Global Inflation is a function of real developments at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318220
countries with low inflation, the raw relationship between average inflation and the growth rate of money is tenuous at best … elasticities implied by theories of Baumol-Tobin and Miller-Orr. Finally, the sample after 1990 shows considerably less inflation … variability, worsening the fit of a one-for-one relationship between money growth and inflation, and generates a fairly low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073658
and food price shocks on a given set of countries. Secondly, we assess the importance of inflation linkages among … exist among regions. In addition, a considerable part of the observed headline inflation rises is attributable to foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159237
equilibrium values having explanatory power for subsequent consumer price inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777411
This paper studies the role of global factors in causing common movements in consumer price inflation, with particular … collected from national and international sources. Global factors explain a large share of the variance of national inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962351