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In this paper we provide a positive exercise on past business-cycle correlations and risk sharing in the European Union, and on the ability of insurance mechanisms and fiscal policies to smooth income fluctuations. The results suggest in particular that while some of the new Member States have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316670
dollar shock, generalised impulse response function shocks and a global shock to risk aversion. Our results show that the way … depends crucially on the nature of the shock. This result is noteworthy given the apparent divergence in competitiveness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130602
This paper provides new evidence on the effects of government spending shocks and the fiscal transmission mechanism in the euro area for the period 1980-2008. Our contribution is two-fold. First, we investigate changes in the macroeconomic impact of government spending shocks using time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316199
This paper examines the usefulness of the Okun relationship as a “rule of thumb” for predicting changes in unemployment … differential reaction of unemployment to changes in the various expenditure components of GDP - significantly enhances the capacity … of the Okun relationship (in comparison to the aggregate “rule of thumb”) for predicting movements in unemployment. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043078
lower levels of liquid wealth. This supports the notion that the persistence of the unemployment shock is an important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348864
The move to monetary union in Europe led to convergence of interest rates among the participating countries. This was associated with notable cross-country differences in the behaviour of key macroeconomic aggregates. Compared to the low interest rate countries, former high interest rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770251
We propose a new and time-varying optimum currency area (OCA) index for the euro area in assessing the evolution of the OCA properties of the monetary union from an international business cycle perspective. It is derived from the relative importance of symmetric vs. asymmetric shocks that result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076631
persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation … cycle model. In particular, we analyze the effect of a monetary policy shock and investigate how labor market frictions … employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783591
We offer new evidence on the real effects of credit shocks in the presence of employment protection regulations by exploiting a unique provision in Spanish labor laws: dismissal rules are less stringent for Spanish firms with fewer than 50 employees, lowering the cost of hiring new workers....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915079
shock (demand shock, access-to-finance shock, ‘availability of supplies' shock), but differs according to the direction of … the shock (positive or negative), its size and persistence. In 2010-13, firms responding to negative shocks were most … likely to reduce employment, then hourly wages and then hours worked, regardless of the source of the shock. Results for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871877