We analytically derive optimal central bank portfolios in a minimum variance framework with two assets and quot …

during the crisis was significantly higher for firms with a “weak” bank than for comparable firms with a “sound” bank– even …

both bank and country-level data. As outright bank failures have been rare in Europe, the paper introduces a novel dataset … are that complementing bank specific vulnerabilities with indicators for macro-financial imbalances and banking sector … vulnerabilities improves model performance and yields useful out-of-sample predictions of bank distress during the current financial …

This paper studies the impact of cyclical systemic risk on future bank profitability for a large representative panel … risk predict large drops in the average bank-level return on assets (ROA) with a lead time of 3-5 years. Based on quantile … local projections we further show that the negative impact of cyclical systemic risk on the left tail of the future bank …