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We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the co-efficient in the Phillips curve on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963916
We estimate the euro area output gap by applying the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition based on a large Bayesian vector autoregression. Our approach incorporates multivariate information through the inclusion of a wide range of variables in the analysis and addresses data issues associated with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014078099
Despite the great importance and final success of the convergence process that led to the establishment of the European Monetary Union, there is no clear agreement regarding the monetary policy pursued in the member countries during the convergence process. This paper contributes to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779824
are consistent with the behavior of inflation. We label these deviations the output gap. In order to pin-down the features … of the model, we evaluate the accuracy of real-time inflation forecasts from different model specifications. The version … that forecasts inflation best implies that after the 2011 sovereign debt crisis the output gap in the euro area has been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981025
This paper tests whether the proposition that globalisation has led to greater sensitivity of domestic inflation to the … power for domestic consumer price inflation in the euro area. Based on these findings, the prescription that central banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012750226
incentives to credit insitutions to use actively the interbank market to manage their liquidity needs. In this context, we … their liquidity shocks. This paper specifically focuses on the speed of reversion of transaction costs and available depth … reported evidence points to time-varying liquidity adjustments and identifies liquidity, market activity and the institutional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097431
' funding structures jointly with that in their excess liquidity holdings. We find evidence that banks highly exposed to the …, importantly, the explicit consideration of the role of excess liquidity in our analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869955
reliance on retail deposit funding and the level of excess liquidity holdings may increase banks’ responsiveness to NIRP. We … segments. We are the first to document the importance of banks’ excess liquidity holdings for the effectiveness of NIRP …, pointing to a strong complementarity of NIRP with central bank liquidity injections, e.g. via asset purchases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221074
We analyse the impact of the Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) on the demand for central bank reserves in the euro area … crisis and the associated introduction of new liquidity regulation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243820
This paper investigates the impact of ample liquidity provision by the European Central Bank on the functioning of the … main euro area payment system. To identify exogenous shocks to central bank liquidity, we exploit the timing of ECB … liquidity operations and use a simple structural vector auto-regression framework. We argue that the ECB acted as a de …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998230