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of cointegration. We applied new break tests and tested for nonlinearity in the cointegrating relation with post-war data … for 15 countries. Our empirical results support cointegration, after accounting for breaks, and a linear Fisher relation … in the long run. This is in contrast to several recent studies that found no support for linear cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765185
of cointegration. We applied new break tests and tested for nonlinearity in the cointegrating relation with post-war data … for 15 countries. Our empirical results support cointegration, after accounting for breaks, and a linear Fisher relation … in the long run. This is in contrast to several recent studies that found no support for linear cointegration. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605059
and food price shocks on a given set of countries. Secondly, we assess the importance of inflation linkages among … exist among regions. In addition, a considerable part of the observed headline inflation rises is attributable to foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159237
future inflation remain less well understood. Here we exploit a global dataset of monthly consumer price indices to identify … the causal impacts of changes in climate on inflation, and to assess their implications under future warming. Flexibly …, future warming will cause global increases in annual food and headline inflation of 0.92-3.23 and 0.32-1.18 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354529
policy rules: we model inflation to be stationary, with the output gap pinning down deviations of inflation from its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889739
We jointly estimate the natural rate of interest, the natural rate of unemployment, expected inflation, and potential …-variation in (i) the data-generation process for inflation, which we capture via a time-varying parameters specification for the … Phillips curve portion of the model; and (ii) the volatilities of disturbances to inflation and cyclical(log) output, which we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316896
, price inflation, and stock prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078535
We compute average mark-ups as a measure of market power throughout time and study their interaction with fiscal policy and macroeconomic variables in a VAR framework. From impulse-response functions the results, with annual data for a set of 14 OECD countries covering the period 1970-2007, show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145150
There is already a substantial literature documenting the fact that low yield currencies typically appreciate during times of global financial stress and behave as safe havens. The main objective of this paper is to find out what the fundamentals of safe haven currencies are. We analyse a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131638
This paper aims to shed light on the characteristics and particularly the determinants of credit-less recoveries. After building a dataset and documenting some stylised facts of credit-less recoveries in emerging market economies, this paper uses panel probit models to analyse key determinants...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123785