Showing 1 - 10 of 1,007
This paper analyses the determinants of inflation differentials and price levels across the euro area countries …. Dynamic panel estimations for the period 1999-2006 show that inflation differentials are primarily determined by cyclical … positions and inflation persistence. The persistence in inflation differentials appears to be partly explained by administered …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316285
This paper provides estimates of price-marginal cost ratios or markups for 50 sectors in 8 euro area countries and the US over the period 1981-2004. The estimates are obtained applying the methodology developed by Roeger (1995) on the EU KLEMS March 2007 database. Five stylized facts are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316633
regimes (high and low inflation). Using Bayesian techniques, we apply the model to the euro area, Germany, the US, the UK and …We develop a time-varying transition probabilities Markov Switching model in which inflation is characterised by two … switches between inflation regimes. Thus money growth provides an important early warning indicator for risks to price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142985
This paper studies euro changeover-related inflation using disaggregated price level data. The difference … segments. Changeover-related inflation was higher for products that were relatively cheaper than the euro area average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315581
trends. It finds that, all sample countries except Germany applied expansionary expenditure policies. This resulted in much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136395
This paper explores the behavior of profits in the four largest euro area countries (Germany, France, Italy and Spain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117688
In this paper, we study the dynamics and drivers of sovereign bond yields in euro area countries using a factor model with time-varying loading coeffi cients and stochastic volatility, which allows for capturing changes in the pricing mechanism of bond yields. Our key contribution is exploring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963728
This paper attempts to model the nominal and real exchange rate for Ireland, relative to Germany and the UK from 1975 … exchange rates are effectively modelled, and in the case of Ireland and Germany, Ppp is found to be valid not only in the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775859
The Eurosystem staff forecasts are conditional on the financial markets, the global economy and fiscal policy outlook, and include expert judgement. We develop a multi-country BVAR for the four largest countries of the euro area and we show that it provides accurate conditional forecasts of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893903
Starting in summer 2014, markets began to build up expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) would embark on large-scale sovereign bond purchases. The ECB's Public Sector Purchase Programme (PSPP) was eventually announced on 22 January 2015 and purchases started in March. Both during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944299