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We focus on a quantitative assessment of rigid labor markets in an environment of stable monetary policy. We ask how wages and labor market shocks feed into the inflation process and derive monetary policy implications. Towards that aim, we structurally model matching frictions and rigid wages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317584
Most analyses of the U.S. Great Moderation have been based on structural VAR methods, and have consistently pointed towards good luck as the main explanation for the greater macroeconomic stability of recent years. Based on an estimated New-Keynesian model in which the only source of change is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316598
and it hence lowers the volatility of output. Technological complexity evolves endogenously in response to profit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318779
sectoral regional inflation rates and exhibits much less volatility than previous findings for the US indicate. We further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126869
using a Time-Varying Coefficients VAR with Stochastic Volatility (TV-VAR) for the US. The model generates accurate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146503
All else equal, higher wages translate into higher inflation. More rigid wages imply a weaker response of inflation to shocks. This view of the wage channel is deeply entrenched in central banks' views and models of their economies. In this paper, we present a model with equilibrium unemployment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770794
Does an inflation conservative central bank agrave; la Rogoff (1985) remain desirable in a setting with endogenous fiscal policy? To provide an answer we study monetary and fiscal policy games without commitment in a dynamic stochastic sticky price economy with monopolistic distortions. Monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779800
analysis sheds light on the recent change in inflation volatility and persistence as well as on the Phillips curve flattening …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317093
This paper provides a comprehensive empirical analysis of the role of discretionary fiscal policy for inflation differentials across the 19 euro area countries over the period 1999-2019. The results confirm existing (older) literature that it is difficult to find robust evidence of the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257756
We introduce frictional financial intermediation into a HANK model. Households are subject to idiosyncratic and aggregate risk and smooth consumption through savings and consumer loans intermediated by banks. The banking friction introduces an endogenous countercyclical spread between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312156