Showing 1 - 10 of 1,276
We examine the global dimension of inflation in 24 OECD countries between 1980 and 2007 in a traditional Phillips curve … to affect inflation through (the common part of) domestic demand and supply conditions. Our most important result is that … the common component of changes in unit labor costs has a notable impact of inflation. We also find evidence that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765190
We compute average mark-ups as a measure of market power throughout time and study their interaction with fiscal policy and macroeconomic variables in a VAR framework. From impulse-response functions the results, with annual data for a set of 14 OECD countries covering the period 1970-2007, show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145150
This paper studies the role of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in promoting central bank independence (CBI). While anecdotal evidence suggests that the IMF has been playing a vital role for CBI, the underlying mechanisms of this influence are not well understood. We argue that the IMF has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824247
This paper provides a structured overview of the burgeoning literature on the economics of CBDC. We document the economic forces that shape the rise of digital money and review motives for the issuance of CBDC. We then study the implications for the financial system and discuss of a number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403003
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … States and the euro area. To sharpen our estimation, we include in the information set macro data and survey data on … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135685
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120765
This paper formalizes the process of updating the nowcast and forecast on out-put and inflation as new releases of data … Philadelphia surveys have a large marginal impact on the nowcast of both inflation variables and real variables and this effect is … sizeable. Prices and quantities affect the precision of the estimates of inflation while GDP is only affected by real variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318105
This paper develops a Bayesian quantile regression model with time-varying parameters (TVPs) for forecasting inflation … inflation with the ability of quantile regression to model flexibly the whole distribution of inflation. In order to make our …-based indicators for the prediction of the conditional distribution of inflation in the euro area, both in the short and longer run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324581
period. The workers' bargaining power in the hours negotiation affects both unemployment volatility and inflation persistence … cost determination. This set-up produces realistic labor market statistics together with inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765186
coordinated wage bargaining systems have a dampening impact on inflation volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316420