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other asset classes generally underperform after banking crises. While prices are depressed during crises and partially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605244
This paper reviews the existing empirical evidence on the short-term impact on prices of fiscal variables and assesses … Commission and the OECD models. Overall, a broad consensus appears on the impact on prices of changes in individual government … limited impact on prices in the first year while, in contrast, changes in indirect taxes and employers' social security …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604442
This paper investigates the persistence of aggregate wages and prices in Portugal assuming a model of a unionized … wages is attributable mainly to unemployment shocks (about 80 percent), whereas variation in the forecast errors of prices …). Productivity shocks explain somewhat less than 10 percent of the variation in forecast errors of wages and prices. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604991
relationship was not altered by the Great Recession or the low interest rate environment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422110
Using firm-level data from a large-scale European survey among 20 countries, we analyse the determinants of firms using short-time work (STW). We show that firms are more likely to use STW in case of negative demand shocks. We show that STW schemes are more likely to be used by firms with high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142056
Drawing on a large sample of countries, this paper explores whether closer economic ties between countries foster business cycle synchronisation and disentangles the role of the various channels, including trade and financial linkages as well as the similarity in sectoral specialisation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128036
implied the highest probability of a recession occurring from a pre-crisis perspective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131847
Euro-area accession caused boom-bust cycles in several catching-up economies. Declining interest rates and easier financing conditions fuelled spending and worsened the current account balance. Over time inflation deteriorated external competitiveness and lowered domestic demand, turning the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135123
Recession of 2007-2009 via a Bayesian time-varying parameter structural VAR. We identify a ‘pure' spread shock which, leaving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137091
The recent financial crisis has highlighted the limits of the "originate to distribute" model of banking, but its nexus with the macroeconomy and monetary policy remains unexplored. I build a DSGE model with banks (along the lines of Holmström and Tirole [28] and Parlour and Plantin [39]) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137588