Showing 1 - 10 of 1,242
In the paper we propose a new methodological approach to core inflation estimation, based on a frequency domain … principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally cointegrated processes. The proposed core inflation … measure is the scaled common persistent factor in inflation and excess nominal money growth and bears the interpretation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604351
We model provincial inflation in China during the reform period. In particular, we are interested in the ability of the … hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) to capture the inflation process at the provincial level. The study highlights … differences in inflation formation and shows that the NKPC provides a reasonable description of the inflation process only for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604875
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steadystate inflation and inflation … can achieve lower inflation uncertainty by lowering the inflation rate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605275
coordinated wage bargaining systems have a dampening impact on inflation volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605051
situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604272
Equilibrium correction models of the price level are often used to model inflation. Such models assume that the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604352
The paper presents an incomplete competition model (ICM), where inflation is determined jointly with unit labour cost … growth. The ICM is estimated on data for the Euro area and evaluated against existing models, i.e. the implicit inflation …. There is, however, some support in favour of the (reduced form) AWM inflation equation. It is the only model that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604368
This paper elaborates on the alternative measure of persistence recently suggested in Marques (2004), which is based on the idea of mean reversion. A formal distinction between the “unconditional probability of a given process not crossing its mean in period t” and its estimator, is made...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604496
This paper uses disaggregated CPI time series to show that a break in the mean of French inflation occurred in the mid … mean break, both aggregate and sectoral inflation persistence are stable and low, with the unit root lying far in the tail … price changes (at the firm level) appears positively related with inflation persistence (at the aggregate level). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604509
This paper analyses the degree of price rigidity and of inflation persistence across different product categories with … inflation persistence, we find that, for most of the EU15 countries as well as for the EU15 and the euro area aggregates …, excluding services from the full HICP results in a reduction in the measured degree of inflation persistence; for regulated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604512