Showing 1 - 10 of 82
Consumers' inflation expectations play a key role in the monetary transmission mechanism. As such, it is crucial for … expectations. These include the apparent overestimation of inflation by consumers as well as the negative correlation observed … between the economic outlook and inflation expectations. We also show that the uncertainty framework fits with some of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272133
Prospective economic developments depend on the behavior of consumer spending. A key question is whether private expenditures recover once social distancing restrictions are lifted or whether the COVID-19 crisis has a sustained impact on consumer confidence, preferences, and, hence, spending....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661627
expectations assumption, we show the transition may initially be inflationary. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278233
This paper uses survey data to assess consumers' inflation expectations in the euro area. The probability approach is … used to derive quantitative estimates of inflation expectations from the European Commission's Consumer Survey. The paper … subsequently analyses the empirical properties of the estimated inflation expectations by considering the extent to which they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604209
requirement that the underlying rational expectations equilibrium is locally indeterminate. We suggest ways in which policymakers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604601
helps overall macroeconomic stability by making expectations operate like automatic stabilizers. Second, under a price level … arguments in favour of or against price level path stability depend on the degree of dependence of private sector expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604864
Assigning a discretionary central bank a mandate to stabilize an average in ation rate
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422056
using existing macroeconomic models by modifying expectations about policy announcements. The main advantage of our method …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422088
We provide a new theory of expectations-driven business cycles in which consumers' learning from prices dramatically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011804368
Is there a systematic mapping between the Federal Reserve's expectations of macro variables and the words it uses to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374396