This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steadystate inflation and inflation … can achieve lower inflation uncertainty by lowering the inflation rate. …

a rationale for the practice of inflation zone targeting. We show that the presence of either zone-quadratic preferences … or a zone-linear relationship between inflation and economic activity provides strong incentives to deviate from … structure and relative preference towards economic stability in determining the width of the implied targeted inflation zone. …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …

In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of … the model to account for the joint dynamics of output and inflation rely on its ability to explain the dynamics in the …

In most OECD countries, we cannot reject up to three breaks in the mean of inflation: one break in the late 1960’s … phenomena. We also show that ignoring breaks in the mean of inflation clearly lead to overrate inflation persistence in standard … bi-variate models of inflation. The response of inflation to shocks in these models is markedly faster with breaks than …

This paper analyses the response of inflation in the euro area to five macroeconomic shocks through the use of results … a TFP shock, generate marked inflation persistence. In contrast, an indirect tax and an oil price shock appear much less … persistent and a social security shock generates less inflation persistence in the majority of the countries (although some weak …

Surprisingly it did not, or at least not directly. Using micro data on consumer prices and sectoral inflation rates … has altered the behaviour of retail price setting and/or inflation dynamics. We find no evidence that anything has changed … earlier patterns. On the contrary, we do find evidence of a decline in the persistence of the inflation process in the mid …