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indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over the period first quarter 1999 till third quarter 2006 … ability of money-based forecasts relative to a simple random walk benchmark model was high at medium-term forecasting horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604913
results suggest that euro-area inflation forecasts have reacted less to unemployment forecasts after the start of the … better anchoring of inflation expectations and increases in structural unemployment do not seem to find support in the survey … financial crisis but another cost measure (energy inflation) remains significant. This finding is consistent with a flatter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605808
employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783591
This paper extends the existing literature on the open economy New Keynesian Phillips Curve by incorporating three different factors of production, domestic labor and imported as well as domestically produced intermediate goods, into a general model which nests existing closed economy and open...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604542
In this paper we explore the link between the intensity of product market competition and inflation rates across EU … countries and sectors. We consider long-term averages of inflation rates in order to remove the cyclical behavior of inflation … product market competition, as proxied by the level of mark-up in particular, is an important driver of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604499
setting behaviour of Portuguese firms. Inflation, the level of economic activity and the magnitude of the last price change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604557
This paper shows that inflation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, inflations of (22 … associated to Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to 1980 and down thereafter …) but also to fluctuations at business cycle frequencies. Second, Global Inflation is, consistently with standard models of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604583
The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the empirical relevance of real convergence on the process of nominal convergence for the new EU Member States. We discuss two of the main channels through which real convergence could affect relative prices with respect to the euro area: productivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604873
We model provincial inflation in China during the reform period. In particular, we are interested in the ability of the … hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) to capture the inflation process at the provincial level. The study highlights … differences in inflation formation and shows that the NKPC provides a reasonable description of the inflation process only for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604875
coordinated wage bargaining systems have a dampening impact on inflation volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605051