Density forecasts of euro area inflation are a fundamental input for a medium-term oriented central bank, such as the … euro area (headline and core) inflation and a large set of determinants, is competitive with state-of-the-art linear … ECB point inflation forecasts, displaying similar deviations from “linearity”. Given that the ECB modelling toolbox is …

the Generalized Dynamic Factor model to develop a set of core inflation indicators that, combining national data with area …

, consumption, investment and unemployment) has a distinct dynamic from disagreement about nominal variables (inflation and interest … nominal series. Country-by-country regressions for inflation and interest rates reveal that both the level of disagreement and …

We document that about 33% of the core inflation basket in the euro area is sensitive to monetary policy shocks. We …. Estimations over different samples show that the impact of monetary policy shocks on sensitive core inflation has become larger …

This paper studies the effect of monetary policy on inflation along the income distribution in several euro area …. On the one hand, different consumption shares imply that inflation by high-income households responds less to monetary … its reaction to monetary policy, which imply that inflation by high-income households responds more to monetary policy. …

contributes to improve core inflation forecasts multiple quarters ahead. Other common textual analysis techniques, such as … valuable for out-of-sample forecasting even after controlling for the central bank inflation forecasts, which are an important …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …

In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of … the model to account for the joint dynamics of output and inflation rely on its ability to explain the dynamics in the …