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comprehensive real-time database for the euro area and examines the ECB's past interest-rate setting behaviour in two complementary … historical evolution of euro area monetary policy. We also find that the ECB is neither purely backward nor forward-looking, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142871
using high-frequency bond yield data for France, Germany, Italy and Spain. We find that Economic and Monetary Union (EMU … substantial increase in the anchoring of long-term inflation expectations since EMU, particularly for Italy and Spain, which since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604863
and to anticipate monetary policy by the ECB? Using a database of surveys of professional ECB policy forecasters in 24 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604624
, and thus an important factor for its credibility and policy effectiveness. This paper analyses the coverage which ECB … that the press critically discusses the ECB’s policy decisions in the context of prior market expectations and of the … inflation environment, and that the media’s coverage of decisions is generally highly responsive to ECB communication – in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604725
households, we investigate these questions for the case of the European Central Bank (ECB). Our findings suggest that knowledge … on the ECB’s objectives is far from perfect. Both a weak desire to be informed and unawareness of insufficient knowledge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605311
statements and press conferences announcing monetary policy actions taken by the ECB. We find that an unexpected decrease of 25 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142043
This paper presents a systematic empirical relationship between money and subsequent prices and output, using US, euro area and Swiss data since the 1960-70s. Monetary developments, unlike interest rate stance measures, are shown to provide qualitative and quantitative information on subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604802
This paper explores the role that the imperfect knowledge of the structure of the economy plays in the uncertainty surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian model averaging procedure on a wide range of models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605135
Research with Keynesian-style models has emphasized the importance of the output gap for policies aimed at controlling inflation while declaring monetary aggregates largely irrelevant. Critics, however, have argued that these models need to be modified to account for observed money growth and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012768875
and to anticipate monetary policy by the ECB? Using a database of surveys of professional ECB policy forecasters in 24 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318108