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We analyse the effects of money growth within a standard New Keynesian framework and show that the interaction between staggered nominal contracts and money growth leads to a long-run trade-off between output and money growth. We explore the microeconomic mechanisms that lead to this trade-off,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604458
Existing work on wage bargaining (as exemplified by Cukierman and Lippi, 2001) typically predicts more aggressive wage setting under monetary union. This insight has not been confirmed by the EMU experience, which has been characterised by wage moderation, thereby eliciting criticism from Posen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605104
results suggest that euro-area inflation forecasts have reacted less to unemployment forecasts after the start of the … better anchoring of inflation expectations and increases in structural unemployment do not seem to find support in the survey … financial crisis but another cost measure (energy inflation) remains significant. This finding is consistent with a flatter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605808
alternative monetary rules on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We use the inflation forecasts of 8 competing …This paper explores the role that inflation forecasts play in the uncertainty surrounding the estimated effects of … relative to the different inflation models under two rules. The results suggest that model uncertainty can be a serious issue …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777870
employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783591
This paper relates the size of the cyclical inflation differentials, currently observed for euro area countries, to the … cyclical inflation differentials. The proposed mechanism is a supply side one in which differences in labor market institutions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317627
In this paper we explore the link between the intensity of product market competition and inflation rates across EU … countries and sectors. We consider long-term averages of inflation rates in order to remove the cyclical behavior of inflation … product market competition, as proxied by the level of mark-up in particular, is an important driver of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604499
setting behaviour of Portuguese firms. Inflation, the level of economic activity and the magnitude of the last price change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604557
This paper shows that inflation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, inflations of (22 … associated to Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to 1980 and down thereafter …) but also to fluctuations at business cycle frequencies. Second, Global Inflation is, consistently with standard models of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604583
The paper analyses the short-run impact of periods of strong monetary growth on inflation dynamics for 15 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604795