This paper uses survey data to assess consumers' inflation expectations in the euro area. The probability approach is … used to derive quantitative estimates of inflation expectations from the European Commission's Consumer Survey. The paper …

evidence from two surveys - one of central bank governors, the other of academic specialists. We find that central banks in …

Using a new survey of European households, we study how exogenous variation in the macroeconomic uncertainty perceived … measured in follow-up surveys. Higher macroeconomic uncertainty induces households to reduce their spending on non …

-term mean of inflation expectations, π∗t , is applied to inflation-linked swap (ILS) rates, while taking into account survey …

Using a novel dataset linking firm level data from the Survey on Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE) and bank level … data from the Bank Lending Survey (BLS), we explore how changes in credit standards pass through to firms at a granular …

This paper provides new survey evidence on firms' inflation expectations in the euro area. Building on the ECB's Survey …

variables in the model, rather than just on future paths as it is usually done in the conditional forecasting literature. The … forecasting densities of a BVAR and a DSGE model on information about the marginal densities of future oil prices. The results …-inflation over the considered forecasting horizon. Finally, a real-time forecasting exercise yields that introducing market …