Showing 1 - 10 of 447
correlations. We then apply the correlation forecasts to two policyrelevant topics, to produce scenario analyses for the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604493
This paper investigates whether comovements between euro area equity returns at national and industry level have … changed after the introduction of the euro. By adopting a regression quantile-based methodology, we find that after 1999 the … degree of comovements among euro area national equity markets has augmented. By explicitly controlling for the impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604952
economies (EMEs) on configurations between the US dollar, the euro and the yen. Given the difficulty that fixed or managed US … have a statistically but also an economically significant impact on the euro, and to a lesser extent the yen against the US … the appreciation of the euro against the US dollar in recent years. Interestingly, EME policy-makers appear to have become …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605019
Euro redenomination risk is the risk that a euro asset will be redenominated into a devalued legacy currency. We … propose a time-varying, country-specific market perception of intra-euro area redenomination risk measure, defined as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605830
economies (EMEs) on configurations between the US dollar, the euro and the yen. Given the difficulty that fixed or managed US … have a statistically but also an economically significant impact on the euro, and to a lesser extent the yen against the US … the appreciation of the euro against the US dollar in recent years. Interestingly, EME policy-makers appear to have become …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012749953
Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates -- that is,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604294
-known ranking for the leading currencies – in particular the US dollar and the euro – but give considerably greater weight to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605077
We provide evidence that changes in the equity price and volatility of individual firms (measures that approximate the definition of 'granular shock' given in Gabaix, 2010) are key to improve the predictability of aggregate business cycle fluctuations in a number of countries. Specifically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605412
This paper discusses the role of risk communication in macroprudential oversight and of visualization in risk communication. Beyond the soar in data availability and precision, the transition from firm-centric to system-wide supervision imposes vast data needs. Moreover, in addition to internal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605813
We provide evidence that changes in the equity price and volatility of individual firms (measures that approximate the definition of 'granular shock' given in Gabaix, 2010) are key to improve the predictability of aggregate business cycle fluctuations in a number of countries. Specifically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121824