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Debt and Growth : New Evidence for the Euro Area
Baum, Anja - 2012
Against the background of the euro area sovereign debt crisis, our paper investigates the relationship between public debt and economic growth and adds to the existing literature in the following ways. First, we extend the threshold panel methodology by Hansen (1999) to a dynamic setting in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104431
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Fiscal policy and the Great Recession in the Euro Area
Coenen, Günter - 2012
How much did fiscal policy contribute to euro area real GDP growth during the Great Recession? We estimate that discretionary fiscal measures have increased annualized quarterly real GDP growth during the crisis by up to 1.6 percentage points. We obtain our result by using an extended version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108718
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The Euro Exchange Rate During the European Sovereign Debt Crisis - Dancing to Its Own Tune?
Ehrmann, Michael - 2013
This paper studies the determinants of the euro exchange rate during the European sovereign debt crisis, allowing a role for macroeconomic fundamentals, policy actions and the public debate by policy makers. It finds that the euro exchange rate mainly danced to its own tune, with a particularly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083696
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Signalling Fiscal Stress in the Euro Area -- A Country-Specific Early Warning System
de Cos, Pablo Hernández - 2014
The sovereign debt crisis in the euro area has increased the interest in early warning indicators, with the aim to indicate the build up of fiscal stress early on and to facilitate crisis prevention by a timely counteraction of fiscal and macroeconomic policies. This paper presents possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049852
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Interest Rate-Growth Differentials on Government Debt : An Empirical Investigation for the Euro Area
Checherita-Westphal, Cristina D.; Semeano, João Domingues - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315044
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The Impact of High and Growing Government Debt on Economic Growth : An Empirical Investigation for the Euro Area
Checherita-Westphal, Cristina D.; Rother, Philipp - 2021
This paper investigates the average impact of government debt on per-capita GDP growth in twelve euro area countries over a period of about 40 years starting in 1970. It finds a non-linear impact of debt on growth with a turning point — beyond which the government debt-to-GDP ratio has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316176
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The Pricing of Sovereign Risk and Contagion During the European Sovereign Debt Crisis
Beirne, John - 2014
The paper analyses the drivers of sovereign risk for 31 advanced and emerging economies during the European sovereign debt crisis. It shows that a deterioration in countries' fundamentals and fundamentals contagion – a sharp rise in the sensitivity of financial markets to fundamentals – are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061742
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The Euro Area Sovereign Debt Crisis : Safe Haven, Credit Rating Agencies and the Spread of the Fever from Greece, Ireland and Portugal
De Santis, Roberto A. - 2012
from Greece. Specifically, higher risk aversion has increased the demand for the Bund and this is behind the pricing of all … key role in the developments of the spreads for Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain. Finally, the rating downgrade in … Greece has contributed to developments in spreads of countries with weaker fiscal fundamentals: Ireland, Portugal, Italy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111942
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Determinants of Sub-Sovereign Bond Yield Spreads : The Role of Fiscal Fundamentals and Federal Bailout Expectations
Beck, Roland - 2017
driven by bailout expectations and investors' risk appetite, as opposed to fundamental values related to default risk. The … federal bailout of the sub-sovereign entity and the capacity of the federal government to provide support to the weaker … certain thresholds. This could reflect the market's expectation of a federal bailout as fundamentals deteriorate. Additionally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963946
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Towards Expenditure Rules and Fiscal Sanity in the Euro Area
Hauptmeier, Sebastian - 2010
The study looks at primary expenditure developments in the euro area, its three largest members and four “macro-imbalances” countries for the period 1999-2009. It compares actual expenditure trends with those that would have prevailed if countries had followed neutral policies based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136395