Showing 1 - 10 of 156
This paper examines the degree of fragmentation in the Euro overnight unsecured money market during the period June …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040191
factors on the other, may have led to gradual convergence in key fiscal variables across the euro area over the recent period … starting already in the 1970s. The alternative scenario is that the euro zone is still characterised by largely idiosyncratic … common euro area component and national features (i.e., idiosyncratic national cycles) using a dynamic factor analysis on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604066
In this paper, we present a disaggregated framework for the analysis of past and projected structural developments in the most relevant revenue and expenditure categories and the fiscal balance. The framework, in particular, distinguishes between the effects of discretionary fiscal policy and of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604625
This paper argues that any assessment on the intentional stance of fiscal policy should be based upon all the information available to policymakers at the time of fiscal planning. In particular, real-time data on the discretionary fiscal policy "instrument", the structural primary balance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604965
In this paper we examine the sustainability of euro area public finances against the backdrop of population ageing. We … alternative indicators to quantify sustainability gaps for euro area countries. With respect to the policy implications, we assess … adjustment in a disproportionate way to future generations. For many euro area countries this implies that the medium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605040
Based on a rich database of government bond spreads and macroeconomic indicators over the period 2001-2008, we propose an empirical assessment of the role of fundamentals in driving long-term sovereign bond spreads of the new EU countries (Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Latvia, Lithuania, Hungary,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605139
The study looks at primary expenditure developments in the euro area, its three largest members and four “macro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605312
We study fiscal behaviour and the sovereign yield curve in the U.S. and Germany in the period 1981:I-2009:IV. The latent factors, level, slope and curvature, obtained with the Kalman filter, are used in a VAR with macro and fiscal variables, controlling for financial stress conditions. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605322
We use a threshold VAR analysis to study whether the effects of fiscal policy on economic activity differ depending on financial market conditions. In particular, we investigate the possibility of a non-linear propagation of fiscal developments according to different financial market stress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605365
Public deficit figures are subject to revisions, as most macroeconomic aggregates are. Nevertheless, in the case of Europe, the latter could be particularly worrisome given the role of fiscal data in the functioning of EU’s multilateral surveillance rules. Adherence to such rules is judged...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605388