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Fertility has long been declining in industrialised countries and the existence of public pension systems is considered as one of the causes. This paper provides detailed evidence based on historical data on the mechanism by which a public pension system depresses fertility. Our theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047746
We address the question of whether the heterogeneity in savings is partly due to differences in pension wealth across individuals and across countries, using a European harmonised wealth survey (HFCS) combined with estimates of pension wealth (OECD). First, we find significant displacement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842350
This paper explores implications of climate change for fiscal policy by assessing the impact of large scale extreme weather events on changes in public budgets. We apply alternative measures for large scale extreme weather events and conclude that the budgetary impact of such events ranges...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159926
In this paper we examine the sustainability of euro area public finances against the backdrop of population ageing. We … alternative indicators to quantify sustainability gaps for euro area countries. With respect to the policy implications, we assess … the appropriateness of different budgetary strategies to restore fiscal sustainability taking into account …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765709
We use a 3-step analysis to assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU27. Firstly, we perform the SURADF … sustainability is an issue in most countries, with a below unit estimated coefficient of expenditure in the cointegration relation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316526
Projected demographic changes in industrialized countries will reduce the share of the working-age population. Analyses based on standard OLG models predict that these changes will increase the capital-labor ratio. Hence, rates of return to capital decrease and wages increase with adverse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100571
impact of different fiscal policies in terms of public debt sustainability but most importantly suggest policies that smooth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316600
The study looks at primary expenditure developments in the euro area, its three largest members and four “macro-imbalances” countries for the period 1999-2009. It compares actual expenditure trends with those that would have prevailed if countries had followed neutral policies based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605312
The study looks at primary expenditure developments in the euro area, its three largest members and four “macro-imbalances” countries for the period 1999-2009. It compares actual expenditure trends with those that would have prevailed if countries had followed neutral policies based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136395
This paper highlights the importance of debt-related fiscal rules and derives growth-maximizing public debt ratios from a simple theoretical model. On the basis of evidence on the productivity of public capital, we estimate public debt targets that governments should try to maintain if they wish...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100835